Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Groningen in this match.
