Eredivisie | Gameweek 21

Apr 22, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
1 - 1
Utrecht

Alvarez (70')
Kudus (53'), Tagliafico (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gustafson (13' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.85%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 3-1 (7%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	FC Utrecht
57.85%	20.03%	22.12%

Both teams to score 65.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.91%

31.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.51%

52.5%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.23%

10.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.23%

34.77%

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45%

26.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.24%

61.76%

Score Analysis

Ajax 57.85%

FC Utrecht 22.12%

Draw 20.03%

Ajax	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 7% 1-0 @ 6.37% 3-0 @ 5.28% 3-2 @ 4.64% 4-1 @ 3.9% 4-0 @ 2.94% 4-2 @ 2.58% 5-1 @ 1.74% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-2 @ 1.15% 4-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.29% Total : 57.85%	1-1 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 2.86% 3-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.03%	1-2 @ 5.6% 0-1 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-2 @ 2.51% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.95% Total : 22.12%