Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 4, 2021 at 3.45pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
1 - 2
Ajax

van Bergen (27')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Tadic (36' pen.), Haller (61')
Tagliafico (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 11.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Ajax
11.67%	17.06%	71.28%

Both teams to score 52.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.73%

37.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.51%

59.49%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.43%

42.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.07%

78.93%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.75%

9.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.73%

31.27%

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 11.67%

Ajax 71.27%

Draw 17.06%

Heerenveen	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 3.42% 1-0 @ 3.36% 2-0 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.16% 3-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.32% Total : 11.67%	1-1 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 4.07% 0-0 @ 3.94% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.06%	0-2 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-1 @ 9.37% 0-3 @ 8.86% 1-3 @ 7.56% 0-4 @ 5.27% 1-4 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.23% 0-5 @ 2.51% 1-5 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 1.92% 0-6 @ 1% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.3% Total : 71.27%