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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 11.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-3 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Ajax |
11.21% | 14.95% | 73.85% |
Both teams to score 59.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.3% | 27.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.63% | 48.37% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.39% | 36.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.6% | 73.4% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.58% | 6.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.96% | 24.04% |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.26% 1-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.5% 2-0 @ 1.19% 3-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.82% Total : 11.21% | 1-1 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 4.47% 0-0 @ 2.35% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.27% Total : 14.95% | 1-2 @ 8.91% 0-2 @ 8.86% 1-3 @ 8.15% 0-3 @ 8.12% 0-1 @ 6.45% 1-4 @ 5.6% 0-4 @ 5.57% 2-3 @ 4.1% 1-5 @ 3.08% 0-5 @ 3.06% 2-4 @ 2.81% 2-5 @ 1.55% 1-6 @ 1.41% 0-6 @ 1.4% 3-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.84% Total : 73.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |