Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 11.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-3 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Ajax |
| 11.21% | 14.95% | 73.85% |
| Both teams to score 59.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.3% | 27.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.63% | 48.37% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.39% | 36.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.6% | 73.4% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.58% | 6.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 75.96% | 24.04% |
| Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle 11.21%
Ajax 73.85%
Draw 14.95%
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.26% 1-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.5% 2-0 @ 1.19% 3-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.82% Total : 11.21% | 1-1 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 4.47% 0-0 @ 2.35% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.27% Total : 14.95% | 1-2 @ 8.91% 0-2 @ 8.86% 1-3 @ 8.15% 0-3 @ 8.12% 0-1 @ 6.45% 1-4 @ 5.6% 0-4 @ 5.57% 2-3 @ 4.1% 1-5 @ 3.08% 0-5 @ 3.06% 2-4 @ 2.81% 2-5 @ 1.55% 1-6 @ 1.41% 0-6 @ 1.4% 3-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.84% Total : 73.85% |
How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Ajax
PEC Zwolle
6.1%Draw
9.1%Ajax
84.8%33
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2020 7pm
Apr 5, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 29
Ajax
P-P
PEC Zwolle
Nov 1, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 12
PEC Zwolle
2-4
Ajax
Mar 13, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Ajax
2-1
PEC Zwolle
Dec 8, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 15
PEC Zwolle
1-4
Ajax
