Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Heracles in this match.
