Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match.
