Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Groningen |
| 32.96% | 24.41% | 42.63% |
| Both teams to score 59.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.4% | 43.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34% | 65.99% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.39% | 25.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.51% | 60.49% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% | 20.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.89% | 53.11% |
| Score Analysis |
Willem II 32.96%
Groningen 42.63%
Draw 24.4%
| Willem II | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 7.73% 1-0 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 4.89% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.82% Total : 42.63% |
How you voted: Willem II vs Groningen
Willem II
37.5%Draw
19.3%Groningen
43.2%88
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Feb 28, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 25
Willem II
3-1
Groningen
Nov 3, 2019 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Groningen
2-0
Willem II
Aug 17, 2018 7pm
