Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 22, 2021 at 7pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
1 - 3
PEC Zwolle

Okyere Wriedt (10')
Selahi (41')
Okyere Wriedt (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ghoochannejhad (58', 62', 70' pen.)
Kersten (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	PEC Zwolle
32.19%	24.9%	42.92%

Both teams to score 57.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.91%

46.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.61%

68.39%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.72%

27.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.28%

62.73%

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51%

21.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.46%

54.54%

Score Analysis

Willem II 32.19%

PEC Zwolle 42.92%

Draw 24.89%

Willem II	Draw	PEC Zwolle
1-0 @ 7.62% 2-1 @ 7.61% 2-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.19%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 9% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 4.61% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.92%