Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 16.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
