KNVB Beker | Semi-Finals
Mar 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen0 - 3Ajax
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 1-3 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
| 17.24% | 18.18% | 64.58% |
| Both teams to score 63.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
