Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.