Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.