Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.