Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
