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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente |
62.12% | 20.11% | 17.77% |
Both teams to score 57.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.78% | 38.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.5% | 60.5% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.19% | 11.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.95% | 37.05% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.12% | 34.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.38% | 71.62% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.4% 1-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 7.05% 3-0 @ 6.69% 4-1 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 3.71% 4-0 @ 3.57% 4-2 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 4.11% Total : 62.12% | 1-1 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 5.21% 0-0 @ 4.12% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.11% | 1-2 @ 4.88% 0-1 @ 4.34% 0-2 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.83% 1-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.72% Total : 17.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |