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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.87%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 21.8% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.51%) and 1-3 (6.94%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
21.8% | 20.33% | 57.87% |
Both teams to score 63.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.98% | 33.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.25% | 54.74% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.07% | 27.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.45% | 63.55% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.63% | 11.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.92% | 36.08% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 5.62% 1-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.6% 2-0 @ 2.58% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.47% Total : 21.8% | 1-1 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 3.17% 3-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 7.51% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-1 @ 6.9% 0-3 @ 5.44% 2-3 @ 4.43% 1-4 @ 3.77% 0-4 @ 2.96% 2-4 @ 2.41% 1-5 @ 1.64% 0-5 @ 1.29% 2-5 @ 1.05% 3-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.95% Total : 57.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |