Eredivisie | Gameweek 19

Jan 28, 2021 at 8pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
3 - 1
Willem II

Klaassen (51'), Brobbey (83'), Tadic (87')
Schuurs (89'), Blind (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pavlidis (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.33%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 8.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Willem II
79.33%	12.41%	8.26%

Both teams to score 57.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.86%

24.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.2%

43.8%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.24%

4.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.75%

19.25%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.67%

39.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.97%

76.03%

Score Analysis

Ajax 79.33%

Willem II 8.26%

Draw 12.41%

Ajax	Draw	Willem II
3-0 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 8.1% 4-0 @ 6.72% 4-1 @ 6.27% 1-0 @ 5.7% 5-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3.84% 5-1 @ 3.82% 4-2 @ 2.93% 6-0 @ 2.08% 6-1 @ 1.94% 5-2 @ 1.78% 4-3 @ 0.91% 6-2 @ 0.91% 7-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.61% Total : 79.33%	1-1 @ 5.32% 2-2 @ 3.78% 0-0 @ 1.87% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.24% Total : 12.41%	1-2 @ 2.48% 0-1 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.86% Total : 8.26%