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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
46.85% | 24.49% | 28.66% |
Both teams to score 56.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.03% | 45.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.72% | 68.27% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.28% | 19.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.27% | 51.73% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.4% | 29.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.36% | 65.63% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 5.07% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.85% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.1% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
7 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |