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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
42.99% | 26.03% | 30.97% |
Both teams to score 52.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.59% | 51.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.78% | 73.22% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% | 23.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.11% | 57.89% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.26% | 30.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33% | 67% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.99% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.61% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 2% Other @ 3.05% Total : 30.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |