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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 70.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax |
12.32% | 17.31% | 70.37% |
Both teams to score 53.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.27% | 36.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.1% | 58.9% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.86% | 41.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.31% | 77.68% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.68% | 9.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.56% | 31.44% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.59% 1-0 @ 3.41% 2-0 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.26% 3-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.49% Total : 12.32% | 1-1 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 4.26% 0-0 @ 3.83% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.31% | 0-2 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-1 @ 9.1% 0-3 @ 8.54% 1-3 @ 7.59% 0-4 @ 5.07% 1-4 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.37% 0-5 @ 2.41% 1-5 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 2% 0-6 @ 0.95% 2-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.37% Total : 70.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |