Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2021 at 8pm UK
Sporting Lisbon1 - 5Ajax
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Ajax |
| 34.61% | 26.82% | 38.57% |
| Both teams to score 51.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.24% | 53.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.77% | 75.23% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% | 29.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.48% | 65.52% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% | 27.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.46% | 62.54% |
| Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon 34.61%
Ajax 38.57%
Draw 26.81%
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Ajax |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.47% Total : 34.61% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 5.07% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.57% |
How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Ajax
Sporting Lisbon
26.1%Draw
19.7%Ajax
54.2%437
Form Guide
