Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
22.87% | 25.29% | 51.84% |
Both teams to score 48.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.3% | 53.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.81% | 75.18% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.44% | 38.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.69% | 75.3% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.27% | 20.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.66% | 53.34% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 7.62% 2-1 @ 5.71% 2-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.43% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.52% Total : 22.87% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 12.57% 0-2 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-3 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 4.95% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.51% Total : 51.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |