Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca2 - 1Famalicao
Basso (66' pen.), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (89')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')
Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodrigues (23')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')
Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Famalicao |
| 34.03% | 28.42% | 37.55% |
| Both teams to score 46.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
