AZ
0 - 2
Ajax

Hatzidiakos (27'), Clasie (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Berghuis (11'), Klaassen (89')
Haller (37'), Blind (74')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's KNVB Beker clash between AZ Alkmaar and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Despite witnessing Ajax succumb to a rare defeat at the weekend, AZ will know that the giants of Dutch football will be further motivated to prevail on Wednesday evening. With that in mind, we feel that Ajax could emerge victorious in rather comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Ajax
32.57%	25.26%	42.16%

Both teams to score 55.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.41%

47.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.21%

69.79%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23%

27.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65%

63.35%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51%

22.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.95%

56.05%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 32.57%

Ajax 42.16%

Draw 25.26%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Ajax
1-0 @ 8% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.57%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 8.91% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.16%