We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 AZ Alkmaar
With plenty of attacking talent on display, we expect an enthralling battle with goals at both ends and a narrow victory for the home side come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 55.98% | 22.07% | 21.95% |
| Both teams to score 57.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.88% | 41.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.49% | 63.5% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.44% | 14.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.38% | 42.61% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% | 32.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.1% | 68.9% |
| Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven 55.98%
AZ Alkmaar 21.95%
Draw 22.06%
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 6.34% 3-0 @ 5.62% 3-2 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 3.05% 4-0 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 1.72% 5-1 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.03% Total : 55.98% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 2-2 @ 5.56% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-1 @ 5.32% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.47% Total : 21.95% |
How you voted: PSV vs AZ
PSV Eindhoven
76.0%Draw
12.0%AZ Alkmaar
12.0%25
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
AZ
0-3
PSV
Mar 21, 2021 1.30pm
Jan 13, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 16
PSV
1-3
AZ
Apr 21, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
AZ
P-P
PSV
