Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 23, 2022 at 1.30pm UK

Philips Stadium

PSV
1 - 2
Ajax

Gotze (53')
Obispo (27'), Schmidt (50'), Junior (79'), Gutierrez (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brobbey (34'), Mazraoui (74')
Alvarez (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Ajax

In a battle between two sides with impeccable records in the Eredivisie this season, any outcome is possible, and we expect them to cancel out each other's efforts in a stalemate. While Ajax lead the league at both ends of the pitch, their hosts come a close second in both departments, and, with Haller missing and the incentive of staying top, we fancy them to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.7%) and 0-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a PSV Eindhoven win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Ajax
19.16%	20.22%	60.63%

Both teams to score 59.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.61%

36.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.48%

58.52%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68%

32.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17%

68.83%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.34%

11.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.27%

36.73%

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 19.16%

Ajax 60.63%

Draw 20.22%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 5.17% 1-0 @ 4.26% 2-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-1 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.39% Total : 19.16%	1-1 @ 9.15% 2-2 @ 5.55% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.22%	1-2 @ 9.83% 0-2 @ 8.7% 0-1 @ 8.1% 1-3 @ 7.04% 0-3 @ 6.23% 2-3 @ 3.98% 1-4 @ 3.78% 0-4 @ 3.35% 2-4 @ 2.14% 1-5 @ 1.63% 0-5 @ 1.44% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.49% Total : 60.63%