Eredivisie | Gameweek 14

Dec 2, 2021 at 8pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
5 - 0
Willem II

Antony (15', 23'), Martinez (18'), Klaassen (71'), Danilo (76')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Saddiki (56'), Yeboah (89'), Kohn (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Regardless of how the visitors impressed earlier in the season, this should be a routine 90 minutes for Ajax. Clean sheets have been their bread and butter, and we expect another shutout with several goals to boot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 88.46%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 3.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.5%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Willem II
88.46%	7.8%	3.74%

Both teams to score 48.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.8%

20.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

61.59%

38.4%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.17%

2.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.09%

12.91%

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.29%

49.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.54%

84.45%

Score Analysis

Ajax 88.45%

Willem II 3.74%

Draw 7.8%

Ajax	Draw	Willem II
3-0 @ 10.65% 4-0 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 7.45% 5-0 @ 6.79% 4-1 @ 6.65% 2-1 @ 6.26% 1-0 @ 5.01% 5-1 @ 4.75% 6-0 @ 4.04% 6-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 2.32% 7-0 @ 2.06% 5-2 @ 1.66% 7-1 @ 1.44% 6-2 @ 0.99% 8-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.58% Total : 88.45%	1-1 @ 3.5% 2-2 @ 2.19% 0-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 7.8%	1-2 @ 1.22% 0-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.53% Total : 3.74%