Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax5 - 0Willem II
We said: Ajax 3-0 Willem II
Regardless of how the visitors impressed earlier in the season, this should be a routine 90 minutes for Ajax. Clean sheets have been their bread and butter, and we expect another shutout with several goals to boot. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 88.46%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 3.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.5%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
| 88.46% | 7.8% | 3.74% |
| Both teams to score 48.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.8% | 20.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 61.59% | 38.4% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.17% | 2.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 87.09% | 12.91% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.29% | 49.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.54% | 84.45% |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 88.45%
Willem II 3.74%
Draw 7.8%
| Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
| 3-0 @ 10.65% 4-0 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 7.45% 5-0 @ 6.79% 4-1 @ 6.65% 2-1 @ 6.26% 1-0 @ 5.01% 5-1 @ 4.75% 6-0 @ 4.04% 6-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 2.32% 7-0 @ 2.06% 5-2 @ 1.66% 7-1 @ 1.44% 6-2 @ 0.99% 8-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.58% Total : 88.45% | 1-1 @ 3.5% 2-2 @ 2.19% 0-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 7.8% | 1-2 @ 1.22% 0-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.53% Total : 3.74% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Willem II
Ajax
89.9%Draw
7.2%Willem II
2.9%69
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2020 5.45pm
Apr 26, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 32
Willem II
P-P
Ajax
Dec 6, 2019 7.15pm
May 5, 2019 5pm
