Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.