Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
