Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 24, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Inonu Stadium

Besiktas
1 - 2
Ajax

Ghezzal (22' pen.)
Larin (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Haller (54', 69')
Haller (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Besiktas and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Both Besiktas and Ajax head into Wednesday's contest in contrasting form, with everything pointing towards a comfortable away victory. The visitors have been scoring goals for fun in recent weeks and we can see Ten Hag's men inflicting another heavy defeat on their Turkish opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Besiktas	Draw	Ajax
21.6%	24.12%	54.27%

Both teams to score 50.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.61%

50.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.67%

72.33%

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.07%

37.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.29%

74.7%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53%

18.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.33%

49.67%

Score Analysis

Besiktas 21.6%

Ajax 54.27%

Draw 24.12%

Besiktas	Draw	Ajax
1-0 @ 6.79% 2-1 @ 5.56% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.58% Total : 21.6%	1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 7.01% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.12%	0-1 @ 11.83% 0-2 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-3 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 5.45% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-4 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 2.3% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.24% Total : 54.27%