Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 3, 2021 at 8pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
4 - 0
Besiktas

Goncalves (31' pen., 38'), Paulinho (41'), Sarabia (56')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Souza (50'), Larin (50')
Souza (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Besiktas win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Besiktas
57.75%	22.04%	20.21%

Both teams to score 55.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.71%

43.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.31%

65.69%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.27%

14.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.06%

42.94%

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.7%

35.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.95%

72.05%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 57.75%

Besiktas 20.21%

Draw 22.04%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Besiktas
1-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.54% 3-1 @ 6.34% 3-0 @ 6.09% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 3.04% 4-0 @ 2.92% 4-2 @ 1.58% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.79% Total : 57.75%	1-1 @ 10.37% 0-0 @ 5.2% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.04%	0-1 @ 5.41% 1-2 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.92% Total : 20.21%