Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
56.96% | 25.66% | 17.38% |
Both teams to score 40.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.25% | 60.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.19% | 80.8% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.52% | 21.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.49% | 54.51% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.26% | 48.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.23% | 83.76% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 16.1% 2-0 @ 12.38% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 4.56% 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.82% Total : 56.95% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 7.52% 1-2 @ 4.16% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 2% Total : 17.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |