Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 24, 2021 at 7pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 0
Maritimo

Porro (90+8' pen.)
Feddal (56'), Neto (60'), Coates (77'), Esgaio (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

China (28'), Victor (56'), Rossi (73'), Pelagio (81'), Mendes (90+3')
Victor (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Maritimo
53.96%	24.25%	21.79%

Both teams to score 50.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.29%

50.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.39%

72.61%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.29%

18.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.92%

50.08%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.07%

37.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.3%

74.7%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 53.95%

Maritimo 21.79%

Draw 24.25%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 11.89% 2-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 5.4% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.95%	1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.88% 1-2 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.58% Total : 21.79%