Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Maritimo |
41.6% | 28.26% | 30.14% |
Both teams to score 45.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.9% | 60.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.69% | 80.31% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.54% | 28.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.77% | 64.23% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.12% | 35.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.34% | 72.66% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 12.83% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.59% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.99% Total : 30.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |