Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes3 - 3Benfica
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
| 22.51% | 23.31% | 54.18% |
| Both teams to score 54.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54% | 46.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.69% | 68.31% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.4% | 34.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.67% | 71.33% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.11% | 16.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.08% | 46.93% |
| Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes 22.51%
Benfica 54.18%
Draw 23.31%
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 6.2% 2-1 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.09% Total : 22.51% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-2 @ 9.24% 1-3 @ 5.82% 0-3 @ 5.48% 2-3 @ 3.09% 1-4 @ 2.59% 0-4 @ 2.44% 2-4 @ 1.37% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.04% Total : 54.18% |
How you voted: Guimaraes vs Benfica
Vitoria de Guimaraes
16.0%Draw
16.0%Benfica
68.0%25
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 6pm
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Jul 14, 2020 9.30pm
Jan 4, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 15
Guimaraes
0-1
Benfica
Form Guide
