Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.