Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 71.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Tondela |
71.09% | 17.65% | 11.25% |
Both teams to score 48.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.7% | 41.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.3% | 63.7% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.65% | 10.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.17% | 33.83% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.05% | 45.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.32% | 81.68% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Tondela |
2-0 @ 12.23% 1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.51% 3-0 @ 9.25% 3-1 @ 7.19% 4-0 @ 5.25% 4-1 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.8% 5-0 @ 2.38% 5-1 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 4.17% Total : 71.08% | 1-1 @ 8.39% 0-0 @ 4.76% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.81% Total : 17.66% | 0-1 @ 3.7% 1-2 @ 3.26% 0-2 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.9% Total : 11.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |