Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.25%) and 3-2 (4.99%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 42.5% | 20.8% | 36.7% |
| Both teams to score 74.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.42% | 24.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.64% | 44.36% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.11% | 12.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.71% | 39.29% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.03% | 14.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.61% | 43.39% |
| Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund 42.5%
Sporting Lisbon 36.7%
Draw 20.8%
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 4.99% 2-0 @ 4.05% 1-0 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 2.56% 4-3 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.42% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.38% Total : 42.5% | 1-1 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 7.3% 3-3 @ 3.16% 0-0 @ 1.93% Other @ 0.9% Total : 20.8% | 1-2 @ 7.13% 2-3 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 4.51% 0-1 @ 3.66% 0-2 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 2.14% 3-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 4.21% Total : 36.7% |
How you voted: Dortmund vs Sporting Lisbon
Borussia Dortmund
85.8%Draw
8.9%Sporting Lisbon
5.3%246
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Dortmund
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Form Guide
