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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.52%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
47.75% | 22.24% | 30.01% |
Both teams to score 65.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.49% | 34.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.56% | 56.44% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% | 14.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.63% | 43.37% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.06% | 22.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.28% | 56.71% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 6.52% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 5.78% 3-2 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.92% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.04% 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.31% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 9.6% 2-2 @ 6.71% 0-0 @ 3.43% 3-3 @ 2.09% Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-1 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 3.72% 1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 1.82% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
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