Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.