Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Greifswalder FC had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Greifswalder FC win it was 2-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.