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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
30.84% | 23.54% | 45.62% |
Both teams to score 61.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.61% | 40.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.23% | 62.77% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% | 25.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% | 60.13% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.99% | 18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.12% | 48.87% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.37% 1-0 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.84% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.32% 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-1 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 5.26% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.26% 0-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.73% Total : 45.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |