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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
26.31% | 22.52% | 51.17% |
Both teams to score 61.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.37% | 38.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.07% | 60.93% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% | 27.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.01% | 62.99% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.72% | 15.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.01% | 43.99% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 6.58% 1-0 @ 5.43% 2-0 @ 3.5% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 1.51% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.31% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 4.2% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-1 @ 7.89% 0-2 @ 7.41% 1-3 @ 5.99% 0-3 @ 4.64% 2-3 @ 3.87% 1-4 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.82% 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.92% Total : 51.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |