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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
15.02% | 18.88% | 66.09% |
Both teams to score 55.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.22% | 37.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.97% | 60.02% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.08% | 37.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.31% | 74.69% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.36% | 10.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.52% | 34.48% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 4.25% 1-0 @ 3.91% 2-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.05% Total : 15.02% | 1-1 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.76% 0-0 @ 4.03% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.88% | 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 9.04% 0-3 @ 7.56% 1-3 @ 7.34% 0-4 @ 4.24% 1-4 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.56% 2-4 @ 1.99% 0-5 @ 1.9% 1-5 @ 1.84% Other @ 4.57% Total : 66.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |