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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Dec 12, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Bayern logo

Union Berlin
1 - 1
Bayern

Promel (4')
Knoche (45'), Promel (72'), Becker (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lewandowski (67')
Davies (30'), Gnabry (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-3 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBayern Munich
12.6%15.8%71.59%
Both teams to score 60.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.8%28.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.01%48.98%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16%34.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.42%71.57%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.05%6.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.52%25.48%
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 12.6%
    Bayern Munich 71.59%
    Draw 15.8%
Union BerlinDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.59%
1-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 1.68%
2-0 @ 1.35%
3-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 12.6%
1-1 @ 6.81%
2-2 @ 4.79%
0-0 @ 2.42%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 15.8%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-2 @ 8.61%
1-3 @ 8.07%
0-3 @ 7.65%
0-1 @ 6.46%
1-4 @ 5.38%
0-4 @ 5.1%
2-3 @ 4.26%
1-5 @ 2.87%
2-4 @ 2.84%
0-5 @ 2.72%
2-5 @ 1.51%
1-6 @ 1.28%
0-6 @ 1.21%
3-4 @ 1%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 71.59%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Bayern

Union Berlin
10.6%
Draw
11.5%
Bayern Munich
77.9%
104
Head to Head
May 17, 2020 5pm
Oct 26, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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