Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Dec 12, 2020 at 5.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
1 - 1
Bayern

Promel (4')
Knoche (45'), Promel (72'), Becker (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lewandowski (67')
Davies (30'), Gnabry (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-3 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Bayern Munich
12.6%	15.8%	71.59%

Both teams to score 60.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.8%

28.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.01%

48.98%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16%

34.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.42%

71.57%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.05%

6.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.52%

25.48%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 12.6%

Bayern Munich 71.59%

Draw 15.8%

Union Berlin	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 3.59% 1-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.68% 2-0 @ 1.35% 3-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.17% Total : 12.6%	1-1 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 4.79% 0-0 @ 2.42% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.3% Total : 15.8%	1-2 @ 9.08% 0-2 @ 8.61% 1-3 @ 8.07% 0-3 @ 7.65% 0-1 @ 6.46% 1-4 @ 5.38% 0-4 @ 5.1% 2-3 @ 4.26% 1-5 @ 2.87% 2-4 @ 2.84% 0-5 @ 2.72% 2-5 @ 1.51% 1-6 @ 1.28% 0-6 @ 1.21% 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.55% Total : 71.59%