Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.98%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 17.1% and a draw had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (4.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.