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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
60.51% | 22% | 17.49% |
Both teams to score 50.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.83% | 47.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.6% | 69.4% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.86% | 15.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.28% | 43.72% |
Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.46% | 40.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.85% | 77.15% |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
1-0 @ 11.58% 2-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 6.22% 4-0 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 1.23% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.37% Total : 60.5% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.94% Total : 22% | 0-1 @ 5.54% 1-2 @ 4.72% 0-2 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.97% Total : 17.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
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