Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Werder Bremen in this match.
