Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.