Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.
